Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.001061 0.001209 0.001360 0.001524 0.001696 0.001871 0.002063
2025-03-23 0.000881 0.001096 0.001323 0.001577 0.001852 0.002138 0.002457
2025-03-30 0.000709 0.000969 0.001254 0.001583 0.001947 0.002333 0.002770
2025-04-06 0.000590 0.000887 0.001223 0.001621 0.002071 0.002556 0.003112
2025-04-13 0.000513 0.000843 0.001230 0.001697 0.002234 0.002819 0.003497
2025-04-20 0.000379 0.000714 0.001125 0.001637 0.002237 0.002901 0.003679
2025-04-27 0.000265 0.000594 0.001020 0.001568 0.002223 0.002959 0.003830
2025-05-04 0.000218 0.000558 0.001014 0.001614 0.002340 0.003163 0.004143
2025-05-11 0.000139 0.000457 0.000918 0.001542 0.002313 0.003199 0.004263
2025-05-18 0.000073 0.000358 0.000810 0.001449 0.002256 0.003195 0.004335
2025-05-25 0.000038 0.000299 0.000753 0.001416 0.002267 0.003268 0.004491
2025-06-01 0.000011 0.000233 0.000678 0.001354 0.002239 0.003292 0.004589
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000176 0.000620 0.001328 0.002278 0.003423 0.004845
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000155 0.000619 0.001384 0.002423 0.003685 0.005259
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000120 0.000587 0.001393 0.002509 0.003876 0.005593
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000099 0.000576 0.001431 0.002633 0.004115 0.005984
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000089 0.000588 0.001505 0.002803 0.004411 0.006444
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000051 0.000519 0.001449 0.002798 0.004491 0.006646
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000022 0.000450 0.001384 0.002778 0.004548 0.006819
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000015 0.000447 0.001428 0.002905 0.004790 0.007213
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000002 0.000383 0.001361 0.002875 0.004831 0.007363
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000312 0.001274 0.002813 0.004828 0.007458
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000276 0.001242 0.002827 0.004921 0.007668